lpl financial market signals podcast

Special Update: Market Sell-off | LPL Financial Market Signals Podcast

October 11, 2018

LPL Financial

The big market sell-off dominates the discussion in this LPL Market Signals Special Update as John Lynch and Ryan Detrick converse on the drivers behind it and what the future holds.

Equities took it on the chin, with the Dow down 800, and the momentum and growth stocks really took it even harder.

- John Lynch - LPL Chief Investment Strategist

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Stocks plummeted Wednesday in what was the worst one-day drop since February. In this special update podcast, LPL Research strategists share their perspectives on the drivers behind the plunge and put the big market sell-off into context.

Higher bond yields, U.S./China tensions, the upcoming midterm elections, six straight months of gains, and worries about peak margins this earnings season all contributed to the big drop. The strategists note that October has historically had above-average volatility and average returns. No month has seen more 1% changes (up or down) than the month of October for the S&P 500 going back to 1950.

However, the S&P 500 Index had one of its least volatile third quarters in history. This was the first year since 1963 that the index’s third quarter didn’t have a single 1% change up or down. The S&P 500 went 74 days straight without a 1% move—the 10th longest streak in history. Some type of volatility was waiting to happen.

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The good news, according to the strategists, is that economy is still in excellent shape with consumer spending growing, consumer and business confidence high, and the job market strong. Manufacturing surveys are near record levels, interest rates are still fairly low, and corporate profits remain strong.

Listen to the entire podcast to learn more about where the LPL Research strategists see the economy going after the historic stock drop.

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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual security. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted.

All indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.

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The modern design of the S&P 500 stock index was first launched in 1957. Performance back to 1928 incorporates the performance of predecessor index, the S&P 90.

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